التنبؤ باستهلاك الطاقة الكهربائية في محافظة القادسية باستخدام نماذج السلاسل الزمنية و نماذج الشبكات العصبية الاصطناعية

الملخص EN

The time series analysis is considered of the important statistics topics which concerned with the study phenomena behavior and interpret them at periods of time.

Through a general description of time series and forming a suitable model for time series behavior interpretation for forecasting .

The aim of research is to build a forecasting model to the electricity power consumption in AL -Qadisiya province at the period (2005 - 2012) by using Box Jenkins model in time series and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) model .

The results showed superiority of artificial neural networks by using some error criterion