تقدير قانون أوكن في الاقتصاد الأمريكي (1995-2014)‎

الملخص EN

The American economist Arthur Malvin was the first to discover the empirical relationship between unemployment and economic growth in 1962, where he explained that the change in the unemployment rate is linked to the inverse relationship with the change in the real output volume of any economy.

This relationship was later known in the macroeconomic models Under the name of the law of Oken.

The second study attempted to estimate the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis experienced by the US economy in 2008 on the relationship between economic growth and unemployment for the period 1995-2014 by conducting a test Structural changes or the stability test of the parameter in the Oken Law.

The results indicated that the Oken Act in the United States of America was in force.

Okin was a negative sign.

The results also showed a structural change resulting from the subprime crisis.

The regression results of the relationship between economic growth and unemployment P The study results are considered questionable authenticity (dubious value) unless the test is performed so that the stability of the time series results are acceptable statistically and can be used to predict economic policy on growth and unemployment in the United States.