Delivery Time Reliability Model of Logistics Network

Abstract EN

Natural disasters like earthquake and flood will surely destroy the existing traffic network, usually accompanied by delivery delay or even network collapse.

A logistics-network-related delivery time reliability model defined by a shortest-time entropy is proposed as a means to estimate the actual delivery time reliability.

The less the entropy is, the stronger the delivery time reliability remains, and vice versa.

The shortest delivery time is computed separately based on two different assumptions.

If a path is concerned without capacity restriction, the shortest delivery time is positively related to the length of the shortest path, and if a path is concerned with capacity restriction, a minimax programming model is built to figure up the shortest delivery time.

Finally, an example is utilized to confirm the validity and practicality of the proposed approach.