Characteristics and Scenarios Projection of Climate Change on the Tibetan Plateau
Joint Authors
Hao, Zhenchun
Ju, Qin
Jiang, Weijuan
Zhu, Changjun
Source
Issue
Vol. 2013, Issue 2013 (31 Dec. 2013), pp.1-9, 9 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2013-07-21
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
9
Main Subjects
Medicine
Information Technology and Computer Science
Abstract EN
The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR4) presents twenty-two global climate models (GCMs).
In this paper, we evaluate the ability of 22 GCMs to reproduce temperature and precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau by comparing with ground observations for 1961~1900.
The results suggest that all the GCMs underestimate surface air temperature and most models overestimate precipitation in most regions on the Tibetan Plateau.
Only a few models (each 5 models for precipitation and temperature) appear roughly consistent with the observations in annual temperature and precipitation variations.
Comparatively, GFCM21 and CGMR are able to better reproduce the observed annual temperature and precipitation variability over the Tibetan Plateau.
Although the scenarios predicted by the GCMs vary greatly, all the models predict consistently increasing trends in temperature and precipitation in most regions in the Tibetan Plateau in the next 90 years.
The results suggest that the temperature and precipitation will both increase in all three periods under different scenarios, with scenario A1 increasing the most and scenario A1B increasing the least.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Hao, Zhenchun& Ju, Qin& Jiang, Weijuan& Zhu, Changjun. 2013. Characteristics and Scenarios Projection of Climate Change on the Tibetan Plateau. The Scientific World Journal،Vol. 2013, no. 2013, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1011511
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Hao, Zhenchun…[et al.]. Characteristics and Scenarios Projection of Climate Change on the Tibetan Plateau. The Scientific World Journal No. 2013 (2013), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1011511
American Medical Association (AMA)
Hao, Zhenchun& Ju, Qin& Jiang, Weijuan& Zhu, Changjun. Characteristics and Scenarios Projection of Climate Change on the Tibetan Plateau. The Scientific World Journal. 2013. Vol. 2013, no. 2013, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1011511
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1011511