محددات الطلب على الواردات الجزائرية من سلع التجهيز تحليل متجه الانحدار الذاتي

Abstract EN

This study aims to identify and analyze the most important variables that explain the behavior of national imports of equipment goods for the period 1990- 2011, where modern standard methods have been used, so it was revealed through the unit root test the preference of using the Vectorial Auto Regressive model (VAR).

The analysis results revealed that national income is the most important determinant of Algerian imports on short term.

Nevertheless, this response is declining dramatically on long term, and as for local alternative or the level of what is locally produced it came contrary to the economic theory in short and medium term, opposing to what it was expected, and for the exchange rate, it was found that it has long-term impact on these goods imports.