Robust Quadratic Regression and Its Application to Energy-Growth Consumption Problem

Abstract EN

We propose a robust quadratic regression model to handle the statistics inaccuracy.

Unlike the traditional robust statistic approaches that mainly focus on eliminating the effect of outliers, the proposed model employs the recently developed robust optimization methodology and tries to minimize the worst-case residual errors.

First, we give a solvable equivalent semidefinite programming for the robust least square model with ball uncertainty set.

Then the result is generalized to robust models under l1- and l∞-norm critera with general ellipsoid uncertainty sets.

In addition, we establish a robust regression model for per capital GDP and energy consumption in the energy-growth problem under the conservation hypothesis.

Finally, numerical experiments are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed models and demonstrate the effect of the uncertainty perturbation on the robust models.