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The Convergence Coefficient across Political Systems
Joint Authors
Schofield, Norman
Gallego, Maria
Source
Issue
Vol. 2013, Issue 2013 (31 Dec. 2013), pp.1-28, 28 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2013-12-09
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
28
Main Subjects
Medicine
Information Technology and Computer Science
Abstract EN
Formal work on the electoral model often suggests that parties or candidates should locate themselvesat the electoral mean.
Recent research has found no evidence of such convergence.
In order to explain nonconvergence, the stochastic electoral model is extended by including estimates of electoral valence.
We introduce the notion of a convergence coefficient, c.
It has been shown that high values of c imply that there is a significant centrifugal tendency acting on parties.
We used electoral surveys to construct a stochastic valence model of the the elections in various countries.
We find that the convergence coefficient varies across elections in a country, across countries with similar regimes, and across political regimes.
In some countries, the centripetal tendency leads parties to converge to the electoral mean.
In others the centrifugal tendency dominates and some parties locate far from the electoral mean.
In particular, for countries with proportional electoral systems, namely, Israel, Turkey, and Poland, the centrifugal tendency is very high.
In the majoritarian polities of the United States and Great Britain, the centrifugal tendency is very low.
In anocracies, the autocrat imposes limitations on how far from the origin the opposition parties can move.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Gallego, Maria& Schofield, Norman. 2013. The Convergence Coefficient across Political Systems. The Scientific World Journal،Vol. 2013, no. 2013, pp.1-28.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1033170
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Gallego, Maria& Schofield, Norman. The Convergence Coefficient across Political Systems. The Scientific World Journal No. 2013 (2013), pp.1-28.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1033170
American Medical Association (AMA)
Gallego, Maria& Schofield, Norman. The Convergence Coefficient across Political Systems. The Scientific World Journal. 2013. Vol. 2013, no. 2013, pp.1-28.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1033170
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1033170