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Scenario-Based Impact Assessment of Land UseCover and Climate Changes on Watershed Hydrology in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China
Joint Authors
Zhan, Jinyan
Ma, Enjun
Su, Hongbo
Wu, Feng
Yan, Haiming
Source
Issue
Vol. 2015, Issue 2015 (31 Dec. 2015), pp.1-11, 11 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2015-10-18
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
This study evaluated hydrological impacts of potential climate and land use changes in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China.
The future climate data for the simulation with Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) were prepared using a dynamical downscaling method.
The future land uses were simulated with the Dynamic Land Use System (DLS) model by establishing Multinomial Logistic Regression (MNL) model for six land use types.
In 2006–2030, land uses in the basin will experience a significant change with a prominent increase in urban areas, a moderate increase in grassland, and a great decrease in unused land.
Besides, the simulation results showed that in comparison to those during 1981–2005 the temperature and precipitation during 2006–2030 will change by +0.8°C and +10.8%, respectively.
The land use change and climate change will jointly make the water yield change by +8.5%, while they will separately make the water yield change by −1.8% and +9.8%, respectively.
The predicted large increase in future precipitation and the corresponding decrease in unused land will have substantial impacts on the watershed hydrology, especially on the surface runoff and streamflow.
Therefore, to mitigate negative hydrological impacts and utilize positive impacts, both land use and climate changes should be considered in water resource planning for the Heihe River Basin.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Wu, Feng& Zhan, Jinyan& Su, Hongbo& Yan, Haiming& Ma, Enjun. 2015. Scenario-Based Impact Assessment of Land UseCover and Climate Changes on Watershed Hydrology in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China. Advances in Meteorology،Vol. 2015, no. 2015, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1052724
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Wu, Feng…[et al.]. Scenario-Based Impact Assessment of Land UseCover and Climate Changes on Watershed Hydrology in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China. Advances in Meteorology No. 2015 (2015), pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1052724
American Medical Association (AMA)
Wu, Feng& Zhan, Jinyan& Su, Hongbo& Yan, Haiming& Ma, Enjun. Scenario-Based Impact Assessment of Land UseCover and Climate Changes on Watershed Hydrology in Heihe River Basin of Northwest China. Advances in Meteorology. 2015. Vol. 2015, no. 2015, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1052724
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1052724