Dynamic Bus Travel Time Prediction Models on Road with Multiple Bus Routes
Joint Authors
Bai, Cong
Peng, Zhong-Ren
Lu, Qing-Chang
Sun, Jian
Source
Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience
Issue
Vol. 2015, Issue 2015 (31 Dec. 2015), pp.1-9, 9 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2015-07-30
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
9
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Accurate and real-time travel time information for buses can help passengers better plan their trips and minimize waiting times.
A dynamic travel time prediction model for buses addressing the cases on road with multiple bus routes is proposed in this paper, based on support vector machines (SVMs) and Kalman filtering-based algorithm.
In the proposed model, the well-trained SVM model predicts the baseline bus travel times from the historical bus trip data; the Kalman filtering-based dynamic algorithm can adjust bus travel times with the latest bus operation information and the estimated baseline travel times.
The performance of the proposed dynamic model is validated with the real-world data on road with multiple bus routes in Shenzhen, China.
The results show that the proposed dynamic model is feasible and applicable for bus travel time prediction and has the best prediction performance among all the five models proposed in the study in terms of prediction accuracy on road with multiple bus routes.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Bai, Cong& Peng, Zhong-Ren& Lu, Qing-Chang& Sun, Jian. 2015. Dynamic Bus Travel Time Prediction Models on Road with Multiple Bus Routes. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience،Vol. 2015, no. 2015, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1057700
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Bai, Cong…[et al.]. Dynamic Bus Travel Time Prediction Models on Road with Multiple Bus Routes. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience No. 2015 (2015), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1057700
American Medical Association (AMA)
Bai, Cong& Peng, Zhong-Ren& Lu, Qing-Chang& Sun, Jian. Dynamic Bus Travel Time Prediction Models on Road with Multiple Bus Routes. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience. 2015. Vol. 2015, no. 2015, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1057700
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1057700