Estimating the Influence of Improper Workplace Environment on Human Error: Posterior Predictive Analysis
Joint Authors
Liao, Pin-Chao
Liu, Mei
Su, Yu-Sung
Shi, Hui
Luo, Xintong
Source
Issue
Vol. 2018, Issue 2018 (31 Dec. 2018), pp.1-11, 11 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2018-06-06
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
A model for identifying, analyzing, and quantifying the mechanisms for the influence of improper workplace environment on human error in elevator installation is proposed in this study.
By combining a modification of a human error model with real-world inspection data collected by an elevator installation company, the influence paths of improper workplace environment on the conditional probability of human error were quantified using a Bayesian network parameter-learning estimation method and posterior predictive simulation.
Under the condition of an improper workplace environment, the probability of human error increased by 80% of its original value, a factor much higher than that resulting from improper management.
The most probable influence was found to be improper workmanship and changes in the information required by the worker, thus triggering cognitive failure and consequent unsafe actions by workers.
The proposed methodology (posterior predictive simulation) provides a new approach in construction studies for quantifying the probabilistic levels of various causal paths, and the results show the key mechanism for the influence of improper workplace environment on human error using real-world mechanical installation data.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Liao, Pin-Chao& Liu, Mei& Su, Yu-Sung& Shi, Hui& Luo, Xintong. 2018. Estimating the Influence of Improper Workplace Environment on Human Error: Posterior Predictive Analysis. Advances in Civil Engineering،Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1116118
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Liao, Pin-Chao…[et al.]. Estimating the Influence of Improper Workplace Environment on Human Error: Posterior Predictive Analysis. Advances in Civil Engineering No. 2018 (2018), pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1116118
American Medical Association (AMA)
Liao, Pin-Chao& Liu, Mei& Su, Yu-Sung& Shi, Hui& Luo, Xintong. Estimating the Influence of Improper Workplace Environment on Human Error: Posterior Predictive Analysis. Advances in Civil Engineering. 2018. Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1116118
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1116118