Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Precipitation Events: Applications of CMIP5 Climate Projections Statistically Downscaled over South Korea
Joint Authors
Sung, Jang Hyun
Eum, Hyung-Il
Park, Junehyeong
Cho, Jaepil
Source
Issue
Vol. 2018, Issue 2018 (31 Dec. 2018), pp.1-12, 12 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2018-10-23
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
12
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Climate change may accelerate the water cycle at a global scale, resulting in more frequent extreme climate events.
This study analyzed changes in extreme precipitation events employing climate projections statistically downscaled at a station-space scale in South Korea.
Among the CMIP5 climate projections, based on spatial resolution, this study selected 26 climate projections that provide daily precipitation under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5.
The results show that a 20-year return period of precipitation event during a reference period (1980∼2005) corresponds to a 16.6 yr for 2011 to 2040, 14.1 yr for 2041 to 2070, and 12.8 yr for 2071 to 2100, indicating more frequent extreme maximum daily precipitation may occur in the future.
In addition, we found that the probability density functions of the future periods are located out of the 10% confidence interval of the PDF for the reference period.
The result indicates that the design standard under the reference climate is not managed to cope with climate change, and accordingly the revision of the design standard is required to improve sustainability in infrastructures.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Sung, Jang Hyun& Eum, Hyung-Il& Park, Junehyeong& Cho, Jaepil. 2018. Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Precipitation Events: Applications of CMIP5 Climate Projections Statistically Downscaled over South Korea. Advances in Meteorology،Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1118745
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Sung, Jang Hyun…[et al.]. Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Precipitation Events: Applications of CMIP5 Climate Projections Statistically Downscaled over South Korea. Advances in Meteorology No. 2018 (2018), pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1118745
American Medical Association (AMA)
Sung, Jang Hyun& Eum, Hyung-Il& Park, Junehyeong& Cho, Jaepil. Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Precipitation Events: Applications of CMIP5 Climate Projections Statistically Downscaled over South Korea. Advances in Meteorology. 2018. Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1118745
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1118745