Future Inflow under Land Use and Climate Changes and Participation Process into the Medium-Sized Reservoirs in Thailand

Abstract EN

The rainfall and runoff within a watershed area upper reservoir are necessary data for reservoir operation.

In this manner, climate and land use changes are legitimately affected to inflow trademark into the reservoir storage.

This investigation expects to appraise future inflow under the effect of atmosphere and land use changes of the Huay Sabag and Huay Ling Jone reservoirs, Thailand, during the period 2018–2067.

The future inflow was evaluated by utilizing the SWAT model with the PRECIS territorial atmosphere model of B2 emanation situation, and considering land use information from the CA Markov model, both the balanced land use by support procedure type, and then unbalanced sort.

Land use from CA Markov was adjusted by participation decides based on Taro Yamane table at the 90% of confidence.

The outcome found that the normal precipitation and temperature were expanded in both upper store regions.

The biggest land use change demonstrated the extension of the sugarcane and Para rubber tree, while paddy field and forest regions were diminished.

The normal future inflows into the store under the two cases were expanded in examination with the watched information during the pattern year.

However, the future inflow from the case of using CA Markov adjusting by participation process was higher than the future inflow from another case of using CA Markov without participation adjusting insignificantly for both reservoirs.