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A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan
Joint Authors
Ozair, Muhammad
Hussain, Takasar
Hussain, Mureed
Awan, Aziz Ullah
Baleanu, Dumitru
Abro, Kashif Ali
Source
Issue
Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-14, 14 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2020-12-07
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
14
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
During the outbreak of an epidemic, it is of immense interest to monitor the effects of containment measures and forecast of outbreak including epidemic peak.
To confront the epidemic, a simple SIR model is used to simulate the number of affected patients of coronavirus disease in Romania and Pakistan.
The model captures the growth in case onsets, and the estimated results are almost compatible with the actual reported cases.
Through the calibration of parameters, forecast for the appearance of new cases in Romania and Pakistan is reported till the end of this year by analysing the current situation.
The constant level of number of patients and time to reach this level is also reported through the simulations.
The drastic condition is also discussed which may occur if all the preventive restraints are removed.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Ozair, Muhammad& Hussain, Takasar& Hussain, Mureed& Awan, Aziz Ullah& Baleanu, Dumitru& Abro, Kashif Ali. 2020. A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan. BioMed Research International،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1134830
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Ozair, Muhammad…[et al.]. A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan. BioMed Research International No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1134830
American Medical Association (AMA)
Ozair, Muhammad& Hussain, Takasar& Hussain, Mureed& Awan, Aziz Ullah& Baleanu, Dumitru& Abro, Kashif Ali. A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan. BioMed Research International. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1134830
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1134830