Statistical Modeling and Prediction for Tourism Economy Using Dendritic Neural Network
Joint Authors
Wang, Yirui
Gao, Shangce
Tang, Zheng
Yu, Ying
Source
Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience
Issue
Vol. 2017, Issue 2017 (31 Dec. 2017), pp.1-9, 9 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2017-01-26
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
9
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
With the impact of global internationalization, tourism economy has also been a rapid development.
The increasing interest aroused by more advanced forecasting methods leads us to innovate forecasting methods.
In this paper, the seasonal trend autoregressive integrated moving averages with dendritic neural network model (SA-D model) is proposed to perform the tourism demand forecasting.
First, we use the seasonal trend autoregressive integrated moving averages model (SARIMA model) to exclude the long-term linear trend and then train the residual data by the dendritic neural network model and make a short-term prediction.
As the result showed in this paper, the SA-D model can achieve considerably better predictive performances.
In order to demonstrate the effectiveness of the SA-D model, we also use the data that other authors used in the other models and compare the results.
It also proved that the SA-D model achieved good predictive performances in terms of the normalized mean square error, absolute percentage of error, and correlation coefficient.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Yu, Ying& Wang, Yirui& Gao, Shangce& Tang, Zheng. 2017. Statistical Modeling and Prediction for Tourism Economy Using Dendritic Neural Network. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience،Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1141092
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Yu, Ying…[et al.]. Statistical Modeling and Prediction for Tourism Economy Using Dendritic Neural Network. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience No. 2017 (2017), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1141092
American Medical Association (AMA)
Yu, Ying& Wang, Yirui& Gao, Shangce& Tang, Zheng. Statistical Modeling and Prediction for Tourism Economy Using Dendritic Neural Network. Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1141092
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1141092