A Hybrid Grey Prediction Model for Small Oscillation Sequence Based on Information Decomposition
Joint Authors
Zeng, Bo
Zhou, Meng
Zhou, Wenhao
Source
Issue
Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-13, 13 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2020-01-16
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
13
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Grey prediction model has good performance in solving small data problem, and has been widely used in various research fields.
However, when the data show oscillation characteristic, the effect of grey prediction model performs poor.
To this end, a new method was proposed to solve the problem of modelling small data oscillation sequence with grey prediction model.
Based on the idea of information decomposition, the new method employed grey prediction model to capture the trend characteristic of complex system, and ARMA model was applied to describe the random oscillation characteristic of the system.
Crops disaster area in China was selected as a case study and the relevant historical eight-year data published by government department were substituted to the proposed model.
The modelling results of the new model were compared with those of other traditional mainstream prediction models.
The results showed that the new model had evidently superior performance.
It indicated that the proposed model will contribute to solve small oscillation problems and have positive significance for improving the applicability of grey prediction model.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Zhou, Meng& Zeng, Bo& Zhou, Wenhao. 2020. A Hybrid Grey Prediction Model for Small Oscillation Sequence Based on Information Decomposition. Complexity،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1142240
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Zhou, Meng…[et al.]. A Hybrid Grey Prediction Model for Small Oscillation Sequence Based on Information Decomposition. Complexity No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1142240
American Medical Association (AMA)
Zhou, Meng& Zeng, Bo& Zhou, Wenhao. A Hybrid Grey Prediction Model for Small Oscillation Sequence Based on Information Decomposition. Complexity. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1142240
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1142240