Random Network Transmission and Countermeasures in Containing Global Spread of COVID-19-Alike Pandemic: A Hybrid Modelling Approach
Joint Authors
Zhou, Yimin
Li, Jun
Ye, Lingjian
Chen, Zuguo
Luo, Qingsong
Wu, Xiangdong
Ni, Haiyang
Source
Issue
Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-12, 12 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2020-11-10
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
12
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Since the outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) at the beginning of December 2019, there have been more than 28.69 million cumulative confirmed cases worldwide as of 12th September 2020, affecting over 200 countries and regions with more than 920,463 deaths.
The COVID-19 pandemic has been sweeping worldwide with unexpected rapidity.
In this paper, a hybrid modelling strategy based on tessellation structure- (TS-) configured SEIR model is adopted to estimate the scale of the pandemic spread.
Building on the data pertaining to the global pandemic transmission over the last six months around the world, key impact factors in the transmission and control procedure have been analysed, including isolation rate, number of the infected cases before taking prevention measures, degree of contact scope, and medical level, so as to capture the fundamental factor influencing the pandemic.
The quantitative evaluation allowed us to illustrate the magnitude of risks of pandemic and to recommend appropriate national health policy of prevention measures for effectively controlling both intra- and interregional pandemic spread.
Our modelling results clearly indicate that the early-stage preventive measures are the most effective action to be taken to contain the pandemic spread of the highly contagious nature of the COVID-19.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Zhou, Yimin& Li, Jun& Ye, Lingjian& Chen, Zuguo& Luo, Qingsong& Wu, Xiangdong…[et al.]. 2020. Random Network Transmission and Countermeasures in Containing Global Spread of COVID-19-Alike Pandemic: A Hybrid Modelling Approach. Complexity،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1143303
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Zhou, Yimin…[et al.]. Random Network Transmission and Countermeasures in Containing Global Spread of COVID-19-Alike Pandemic: A Hybrid Modelling Approach. Complexity No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1143303
American Medical Association (AMA)
Zhou, Yimin& Li, Jun& Ye, Lingjian& Chen, Zuguo& Luo, Qingsong& Wu, Xiangdong…[et al.]. Random Network Transmission and Countermeasures in Containing Global Spread of COVID-19-Alike Pandemic: A Hybrid Modelling Approach. Complexity. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1143303
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1143303