Statistical analysis of records at three major meteorological stations in Jordan
Joint Authors
Shatnaw, A.
al-Shamali, B.
al-Ansari, N. A.
Source
Al-Manarah For Research and Studies
Issue
Vol. 12, Issue 2 (31 Jul. 2006), pp.93-120, 28 p.
Publisher
Al al-Bayt University Deanship of Academic Research
Publication Date
2006-07-31
Country of Publication
Jordan
No. of Pages
28
Main Subjects
Earth Sciences, Water and Environment
Topics
Abstract AR
يهتم هذا البحث بتحليل السجلات المطرية لمعدلات الهطول السنوي للأمطار لمحطات الأرصاد الجوية لعمان و إربد و المفرق.
استخدمت عدة طرق رياضية إحصائية (Normal statistical, Harmonic and Power Spectrum and Time Series) لتحليل المعدلات السنوية للأمطار.
أظهرت النتائج أن أكثر دورية محتملة هي 3 – 4 سنوات في كافة المحطات، أما تحليل السلاسل الزمنية فأظهرت النتائج أنها مقاربة للقياسات الفعلية، و عليه يمكن استخدامه من قبل الدارسين أو متخذي القرار للتنبؤ بالقرارات المستقبلية.
Abstract EN
This article deals with the statistical analysis of the rainfall measurements for three meteorological stations in Jordan, Amman Airport (central Jordan), Irbid (northern Jordan) and Mafraq (eastern Jordan).
Normal statistical, harmonic and power spectrum analysis as well as time series analysis were performed on the long-term annual rainfall measurements at the three stations.
The result showed that the most expected cyclicity is in the order of 3-4 years in all the meteorological stations.
A time series model for each station was adjusted, processed, diagnostically checked and lastly an ARIMA model for each station is established with a 95% confidence interval.
The results indicate a decreasing trend for forecasted rainfall results in all station.
American Psychological Association (APA)
al-Ansari, N. A.& al-Shamali, B.& Shatnaw, A.. 2006. Statistical analysis of records at three major meteorological stations in Jordan. Al-Manarah For Research and Studies،Vol. 12, no. 2, pp.93-120.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-11569
Modern Language Association (MLA)
al-Ansari, N. A.…[et al.]. Statistical analysis of records at three major meteorological stations in Jordan. Al-Manarah For Research and Studies Vol. 12, no. 2 (Jul. 2006), pp.93-120.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-11569
American Medical Association (AMA)
al-Ansari, N. A.& al-Shamali, B.& Shatnaw, A.. Statistical analysis of records at three major meteorological stations in Jordan. Al-Manarah For Research and Studies. 2006. Vol. 12, no. 2, pp.93-120.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-11569
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes appendices : p. 113-120
Record ID
BIM-11569
