A Comparison of Models for Estimating Solar Radiation from Sunshine Duration in Croatia

Abstract EN

The performance of seventeen sunshine-duration-based models has been assessed using data from seven meteorological stations in Croatia.

Conventional statistical indicators are used as numerical indicators of the model performance: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean bias error (MBE), mean absolute error (MAE), and root-mean-square error (RMSE).

The ranking of the models was done using the combination of all these parameters, all having equal weights.

The Rietveld model was found to perform the best overall, followed by Soler and Dogniaux-Lemoine monthly dependent models.

For three best-performing models, new adjusted coefficients are calculated, and they are validated using separate dataset.

Only the Dogniaux-Lemoine model performed better with adjusted coefficients, but across all analysed locations, the adjusted models showed improvement in reduced maximum percentage error.