Mathematical Model to Estimate and Predict the COVID-19 Infections in Morocco: Optimal Control Strategy
Joint Authors
Bidah, Sara
Zakary, Omar
Rachik, Mostafa
Ferjouchia, Hanane
Source
Journal of Applied Mathematics
Issue
Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-13, 13 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2020-10-09
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
13
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
In this paper, we aim to estimate and predict the situation of the new coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) in countries under quarantine measures.
First, we present a new discrete-time mathematical model describing the evolution of the COVID-19 in a population under quarantine.
We are motivated by the growing numbers of infections and deaths in countries under quarantine to investigate potential causes.
We consider two new classes of people, those who respect the quarantine and stay at home, and those who do not respect the quarantine and leave their homes for one or another reason.
Second, we use real published data to estimate the parameters of the model, and then, we estimate these populations in Morocco.
We investigate the impact of people who underestimate the quarantine by considering an optimal control strategy to reduce this category and then reducing the number of the population at risk in Morocco.
We provide several simulations to support our findings.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Zakary, Omar& Bidah, Sara& Rachik, Mostafa& Ferjouchia, Hanane. 2020. Mathematical Model to Estimate and Predict the COVID-19 Infections in Morocco: Optimal Control Strategy. Journal of Applied Mathematics،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1174612
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Zakary, Omar…[et al.]. Mathematical Model to Estimate and Predict the COVID-19 Infections in Morocco: Optimal Control Strategy. Journal of Applied Mathematics No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1174612
American Medical Association (AMA)
Zakary, Omar& Bidah, Sara& Rachik, Mostafa& Ferjouchia, Hanane. Mathematical Model to Estimate and Predict the COVID-19 Infections in Morocco: Optimal Control Strategy. Journal of Applied Mathematics. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1174612
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1174612