Study on Fractal Multistep Forecast for the Prediction of Driving Behavior
Joint Authors
Yang, Longhai
Zhang, Xiqiao
Xu, Hong
Li, Shuai
Ji, Wenchao
Source
Journal of Advanced Transportation
Issue
Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-10, 10 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2020-01-20
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
10
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
The application and development of new technology make it possible to acquire real-time data of vehicles.
Based on these real-time data, the behavior of vehicles can be analyzed.
The prediction of vehicle behavior provides data support for the fine management of traffic.
This paper proposes speed and acceleration have fractal features by R/S analysis of the time series data of speed and acceleration.
Based on the characteristic analysis of microscopic parameters, the characteristic indexes of parameters are quantified, the fractal multistep prediction model of microparameters is established, and the BP (back propagation neural networks) model is established to estimate predictable step of fractal prediction model.
The fractal multistep prediction model is used to predict speed acceleration in the predictable step.
NGSIM trajectory data are used to test the multistep prediction model.
The results show that the proposed fractal multistep prediction model can effectively realize the multistep prediction of vehicle speed.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Yang, Longhai& Xu, Hong& Zhang, Xiqiao& Li, Shuai& Ji, Wenchao. 2020. Study on Fractal Multistep Forecast for the Prediction of Driving Behavior. Journal of Advanced Transportation،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-10.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1181073
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Yang, Longhai…[et al.]. Study on Fractal Multistep Forecast for the Prediction of Driving Behavior. Journal of Advanced Transportation No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-10.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1181073
American Medical Association (AMA)
Yang, Longhai& Xu, Hong& Zhang, Xiqiao& Li, Shuai& Ji, Wenchao. Study on Fractal Multistep Forecast for the Prediction of Driving Behavior. Journal of Advanced Transportation. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-10.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1181073
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1181073