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Very Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Hybrid Algebraic Prediction and Support Vector Regression
Joint Authors
Song, Hwachang
Capuno, Marlon
Kim, Jung-Su
Source
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Issue
Vol. 2017, Issue 2017 (31 Dec. 2017), pp.1-9, 9 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2017-04-19
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
9
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
This paper presents a model for very short-term load forecasting (VSTLF) based on algebraic prediction (AP) using a modified concept of the Hankel rank of a sequence.
Moreover, AP is coupled with support vector regression (SVR) to accommodate weather forecast parameters for improved accuracy of a longer prediction horizon; thus, a hybrid model is also proposed.
To increase system reliability during peak hours, this prediction model also aims to provide more accurate peak-loading conditions when considerable changes in temperature and humidity happen.
The objective of going hybrid is to estimate an increase or decrease on the expected peak load demand by presenting the total MW per Celsius degree change (MW/C°) as criterion for providing a warning signal to system operators to prepare necessary storage facilities and sufficient reserve capacities if urgently needed by the system.
The prediction model is applied using actual 2014 load demand of mainland South Korea during the summer months of July to September to demonstrate the performance of the proposed prediction model.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Capuno, Marlon& Kim, Jung-Su& Song, Hwachang. 2017. Very Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Hybrid Algebraic Prediction and Support Vector Regression. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1192290
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Capuno, Marlon…[et al.]. Very Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Hybrid Algebraic Prediction and Support Vector Regression. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2017 (2017), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1192290
American Medical Association (AMA)
Capuno, Marlon& Kim, Jung-Su& Song, Hwachang. Very Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Hybrid Algebraic Prediction and Support Vector Regression. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1192290
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1192290