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Calibrating a Local Civil Airport Runway Residual Life Prediction Model Using Random Effects and Joint Estimation
Joint Authors
Wang, Fuming
Wei, Baoli
Guo, Chengchao
Source
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Issue
Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-13, 13 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2020-10-20
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
13
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Existing runway residual life prediction models need to be modified using the historical data of evaluated airports during evaluation and management for civil airports in China.
If the data measured in the field and the historical data used for model calibration do not represent the actual historical performance of the evaluated airport, the predicted performance of the revised model might be poor.
This study used measured pavement performance data for local civil airports in Henan Province from 2007 to 2017.
The joint-estimation method was used to establish a functional residual life prediction model for local civil airport pavement with another dataset.
A functional residual life prediction model for airport pavement was proposed in consideration of the influence of aircraft traffic and the thickness of the pavement surface layer.
Taking into account the differences between samples in the two datasets, nonlinear regression with random-effect analysis and joint estimation were used to explain unobserved heterogeneity at the sample level and heteroscedasticity in the dataset.
Based on the results of the established residual life prediction model, the marginal effect of the model parameters and the prediction performance of the entire model were analyzed with the measured data from the local airport pavement.
Finally, the engineering applicability of the calibrated prediction model for pavement residual life was further evaluated.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Wei, Baoli& Guo, Chengchao& Wang, Fuming. 2020. Calibrating a Local Civil Airport Runway Residual Life Prediction Model Using Random Effects and Joint Estimation. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1197419
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Wei, Baoli…[et al.]. Calibrating a Local Civil Airport Runway Residual Life Prediction Model Using Random Effects and Joint Estimation. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1197419
American Medical Association (AMA)
Wei, Baoli& Guo, Chengchao& Wang, Fuming. Calibrating a Local Civil Airport Runway Residual Life Prediction Model Using Random Effects and Joint Estimation. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1197419
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1197419