Projection of Future Hydropower Generation in Samanalawewa Power Plant, Sri Lanka
Joint Authors
Karunanayake, Chamaka
Gunathilake, Miyuru B.
Rathnayake, Upaka
Khaniya, Bhabishya
Source
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Issue
Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-11, 11 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2020-10-17
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
The projection of future hydropower generation is extremely important for the sustainable development of any country, which utilizes hydropower as one of the major sources of energy to plan the country’s power management system.
Hydropower generation, on the other hand, is mostly dependent on the weather and climate dynamics of the local area.
In this paper, we aim to study the impact of climate change on the future performance of the Samanalawewa hydropower plant located in Sri Lanka using artificial neural networks (ANNs).
ANNs are one of the most effective machine learning tools for examining nonlinear relationships between the variables to understand complex hydrological processes.
Validated ANN model is used to project the future power generation from 2020 to 2050 using future projected rainfall data extracted from regional climate models.
Results showcased that the forecasted hydropower would increase in significant percentages (7.29% and 10.22%) for the two tested climatic scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).
Therefore, this analysis showcases the capability of ANN in projecting nonstationary patterns of power generation from hydropower plants.
The projected results are of utmost importance to stakeholders to manage reservoir operations while maximizing the productivity of the impounded water and thus, maximizing economic growth as well as social benefits.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Khaniya, Bhabishya& Karunanayake, Chamaka& Gunathilake, Miyuru B.& Rathnayake, Upaka. 2020. Projection of Future Hydropower Generation in Samanalawewa Power Plant, Sri Lanka. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1201760
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Khaniya, Bhabishya…[et al.]. Projection of Future Hydropower Generation in Samanalawewa Power Plant, Sri Lanka. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1201760
American Medical Association (AMA)
Khaniya, Bhabishya& Karunanayake, Chamaka& Gunathilake, Miyuru B.& Rathnayake, Upaka. Projection of Future Hydropower Generation in Samanalawewa Power Plant, Sri Lanka. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1201760
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1201760