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A Bimodel Algorithm with Data-Divider to Predict Stock Index
Joint Authors
Wang, Zhaoyue
Hu, Jinsong
Wu, Yongjie
Source
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Issue
Vol. 2018, Issue 2018 (31 Dec. 2018), pp.1-14, 14 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2018-03-05
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
14
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
There is not yet reliable software for stock prediction, because most experts of this area have been trying to predict an exact stock index.
Considering that the fluctuation of a stock index usually is no more than 1% in a day, the error between the forecasted and the actual values should be no more than 0.5%.
It is too difficult to realize.
However, forecasting whether a stock index will rise or fall does not need to be so exact a numerical value.
A few scholars noted the fact, but their systems do not yet work very well because different periods of a stock have different inherent laws.
So, we should not depend on a single model or a set of parameters to solve the problem.
In this paper, we developed a data-divider to divide a set of historical stock data into two parts according to rising period and falling period, training, respectively, two neural networks optimized by a GA.
Above all, the data-divider enables us to avoid the most difficult problem, the effect of unexpected news, which could hardly be predicted.
Experiments show that the accuracy of our method increases 20% compared to those of traditional methods.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Wang, Zhaoyue& Hu, Jinsong& Wu, Yongjie. 2018. A Bimodel Algorithm with Data-Divider to Predict Stock Index. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1207236
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Wang, Zhaoyue…[et al.]. A Bimodel Algorithm with Data-Divider to Predict Stock Index. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2018 (2018), pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1207236
American Medical Association (AMA)
Wang, Zhaoyue& Hu, Jinsong& Wu, Yongjie. A Bimodel Algorithm with Data-Divider to Predict Stock Index. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2018. Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1207236
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1207236