A Markov Chain Based Demand Prediction Model for Stations in Bike Sharing Systems
Joint Authors
Zhou, Yajun
Wang, Lilei
Zhong, Rong
Tan, Yulong
Source
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Issue
Vol. 2018, Issue 2018 (31 Dec. 2018), pp.1-8, 8 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2018-01-03
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
8
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Accurate transfer demand prediction at bike stations is the key to develop balancing solutions to address the overutilization or underutilization problem often occurring in bike sharing system.
At the same time, station transfer demand prediction is helpful to bike station layout and optimization of the number of public bikes within the station.
Traditional traffic demand prediction methods, such as gravity model, cannot be easily adapted to the problem of forecasting bike station transfer demand due to the difficulty in defining impedance and distinct characteristics of bike stations (Xu et al.
2013).
Therefore, this paper proposes a prediction method based on Markov chain model.
The proposed model is evaluated based on field data collected from Zhongshan City bike sharing system.
The daily production and attraction of stations are forecasted.
The experimental results show that the model of this paper performs higher forecasting accuracy and better generalization ability.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Zhou, Yajun& Wang, Lilei& Zhong, Rong& Tan, Yulong. 2018. A Markov Chain Based Demand Prediction Model for Stations in Bike Sharing Systems. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1209108
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Zhou, Yajun…[et al.]. A Markov Chain Based Demand Prediction Model for Stations in Bike Sharing Systems. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2018 (2018), pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1209108
American Medical Association (AMA)
Zhou, Yajun& Wang, Lilei& Zhong, Rong& Tan, Yulong. A Markov Chain Based Demand Prediction Model for Stations in Bike Sharing Systems. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2018. Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-8.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1209108
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1209108