Modeling average maximum monthly temperature using the generalized Pareto distribution at the Jijel weather station from 1988 to 2018
Author
Source
Revue D'économie et de Statistique Appliquée
Issue
Vol. 18, Issue 1 (30 Jun. 2021), pp.45-55, 11 p.
Publisher
National Higher School of Statistics and Applied Economics
Publication Date
2021-06-30
Country of Publication
Algeria
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Topics
Abstract EN
The objective of this article is to estimate the two parameters of the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) that allows us to calculate return levels of temperature for different return periods.
we worked on a monthly average temperatures series of the Jijel weather station (Northern Algeria), after the determination of the threshold (u_0 = 18 °C), we estimated the parameters of the GPD by the maximum likelihood method, it was found that the generalized Pareto distribution of type II (with bounded tails) is more suitable for the maximum monthly temperatures.
Once the estimated model has been validated we calculated returns levels for different periods, according to this model.
We must wait about 100 years to record an average monthly temperature of 28.
56 °C.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Shiraytiah, Hasan. 2021. Modeling average maximum monthly temperature using the generalized Pareto distribution at the Jijel weather station from 1988 to 2018. Revue D'économie et de Statistique Appliquée،Vol. 18, no. 1, pp.45-55.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1247658
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Shiraytiah, Hasan. Modeling average maximum monthly temperature using the generalized Pareto distribution at the Jijel weather station from 1988 to 2018. Revue D'économie et de Statistique Appliquée Vol. 18, no. 1 (Jun. 2021), pp.45-55.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1247658
American Medical Association (AMA)
Shiraytiah, Hasan. Modeling average maximum monthly temperature using the generalized Pareto distribution at the Jijel weather station from 1988 to 2018. Revue D'économie et de Statistique Appliquée. 2021. Vol. 18, no. 1, pp.45-55.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1247658
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 54-55
Record ID
BIM-1247658