الصراع الداخلي في جمهورية جنوب السودان : فرص السلام و قيود الحرب الاهلية 2013-2020

Abstract EN

On the 15th December 2013, a battalion of the presidential guard fought residential neighborhoods in the capital Juba, Republic of South Sudan.

This caused violence between two factions of the presidential guard, which hide, in fact, political and tribal enmity, between president Silva Kiir Mayardt of the Dinka tribe and his deputy, Riak Machar of the Nuer tribe, who are the main parties in this conflict, which was caused by a dispute over power-sharing in the State of South Sudan.

The civil war continued from 2013 to January 2020, with the implementation of the last peace agreement between the two sides of the war, with regional mediation carried out by the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD).

The war left behind at least ten thousand killed and more than four million displaced to neighboring countries, in addition to the destruction of the country’s infrastructure and the deterioration of the economic, social and humanitarian situation.

This article examines the reality of the conflict in the State of South Sudan, its major causes and the direct and indirect parties involved in it, whether they are internal, regional or international.

It also concludes in a prospective vision that, according to historical and tribal factors, and to the divergent agendas of the conflict parties, the implementation of recent peace agreement will not last for long.

Finally, the study comes up with some solutions that could be implemented to end the conflict.