استخدام طريقة المربعات الصغرى الخطية التكرارية لتقدير معلمات أنموذج Output Error (OE)‎ Model مع التطبيق العملي

Abstract EN

This research has examined the study of the output error model (OE) and knowledge of the difference in the daily consumption of electric energy in Baghdad Governorate for the month (May, June and July) for the year 2019 and its relationship to heat.

And the prediction of electrical energy for the month of (August) and the extent of its conformity with the original values according to the studied data.

Where the model was built using several traditional phases, which is the estimation using repeated linear least squares method and diagnosis.

The model rank was determined using the Akaik's Final Prediction Error Criteria and predicting the average daily consumption of electric energy by fifteen (15) days forward, The data were obtained from the Ministry of Electricity/Department of Operation and Control.