Mathematical modeling and statistical prediction of the spread of the Covid-19 epidemic in Iraq with use SIR, R0
Author
Source
al-Qadisiyah Journal for Computer Science and Mathematics
Issue
Vol. 13, Issue 1 (31 Mar. 2021), pp.1-14, 14 p.
Publisher
University of al-Qadisiyah College of computer Science and Information Technology
Publication Date
2021-03-31
Country of Publication
Iraq
No. of Pages
14
Main Subjects
Information Technology and Computer Science
Abstract EN
In this research, a mathematical model was used to find epidemiological predictions for the coronavirus epidemic in Iraq to control and prevent the epidemic.
Where the data of the reported cases until Nov.
21, 2020 from the Iraqi Ministry of Health and the Iraqi Public Health Committee were used, where the parameters of the form were determined and based on determining the number of reported cases, the unreported cases are determined and then the model is used to project the epidemic forward with appropriate levels of Iraqi Public Health Authority interventions.
The model's predictions underscore the importance of major public health interventions in controlling COVID-19 epidemics.
Whereas, the research work strategy was adopted by Liu et al (2020).
The simulation was performed with R.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Muhammad, Jirjis Shahid. 2021. Mathematical modeling and statistical prediction of the spread of the Covid-19 epidemic in Iraq with use SIR, R0. al-Qadisiyah Journal for Computer Science and Mathematics،Vol. 13, no. 1, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1266384
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Muhammad, Jirjis Shahid. Mathematical modeling and statistical prediction of the spread of the Covid-19 epidemic in Iraq with use SIR, R0. al-Qadisiyah Journal for Computer Science and Mathematics Vol. 13, no. 1 (2021), pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1266384
American Medical Association (AMA)
Muhammad, Jirjis Shahid. Mathematical modeling and statistical prediction of the spread of the Covid-19 epidemic in Iraq with use SIR, R0. al-Qadisiyah Journal for Computer Science and Mathematics. 2021. Vol. 13, no. 1, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1266384
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes appendix : p. 9-14
Record ID
BIM-1266384