The impact of some monetary indicators on gross domestic investment in Iraq

Abstract EN

The paper examines the impact of a number of monetary indicators on gross domestic investment in Iraq for the period 2004-2024, by using a regression analysis model in addition to adopting several statistical techniques in the purpose of testing the model validation.

Unit root test results show that gross domestic investment and most of the variables series included in this study depict stationarity in their levels except for net domestic assets, and policy interest rate (end of period) where they depict trend in levels, however, they appear stationary in their first differences.

Regression analysis show that except for base money variable, all independent variables included in this model seem to have significant relationships with the dependent variable, and the group of independent variables represented in the model are jointly significant.

Cointegration test is established for gross domestic investment and monetary indicators suggesting there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between the series.

LM test result reveal that the proposed model is valid as there is no serial correlation in the errors in the model.

The results of the study indicate that the policymakers would have to concentrate on creating a favorable environment for private-sector growth in an economy dominated by oil production and public spending, as well as public investment practices require significant reforms by the authorities.