قياس و تحليل عناصر الضخ الكلي في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (1990-2018)‎

Abstract EN

The research aimed to measure and analyze the dynamic interactions (short and long term) between the elements of total pumping (private investment spending, government spending, exports) as independent variables and GDP as a dependent variable using the ARDL model.

The study assumed that there is a direct, statistically significant relationship between the elements of total pumping and the gross domestic product.

For this, three models were used for the study.

In addition, annual data covering the period (1990-2018) was used.

Finally the results of the ARDL model test revealed to us that there is a common complementarity and a long-term equilibrium relationship between the elements of total pumping and the gross domestic product.

The results of the dynamic interactions in the two terms revealed the existence of a direct significant relationship between the total pumping elements and the gross domestic product, and thus the results of the models proved correct.

The hypothesis of the study.

Accordingly, the study recommended that there should be support for the private sector by the government (with an integrative relationship between them) and not competition or alternative.

The study also recommended re-engineering government spending by directing and employing spending in the correct manner, in order to achieve financial returns from it, in addition to the need to activate non-oil sectors )Agriculture and Industry) and controlling border crossings in order to raise rates of GDP growth and then achieve economic development for the country.