التنبؤ بإنتاج و استهلاك أهم المحاصيل و السلع الزراعية الاستراتيجية حتى عام 2023

Other Title(s)

Predicting the production and consumption of the most important crops and strategic agricultural commodities "until 2023 using the box-jenkins methodology

Joint Authors

إيناس السيد صادق
شيلابي، أيمن عبد القوي
عمرو محسن محمد

Source

مجلة الفيوم للبحوث و التنمية الزراعية

Issue

Vol. 34, Issue 1 (31 Jan. 2020), pp.100-111, 12 p.

Publisher

Fayoum University Faculty of Agriculture

Publication Date

2020-01-31

Country of Publication

Egypt

No. of Pages

12

Main Subjects

Economy and Commerce
Agriculture

Topics

Abstract EN

Predicting the production and consumption of the most important crops and strategic agricultural commodities "until 2023 using the Box-Jenkins methodology": As it was clear from the results of forecasting the production and consumption of the most important crops and strategic agricultural commodities in Egypt until the year 2023, it is expected to increase the production and consumption of (wheat, maize, and vegetable oils).

As it was clear from the results of forecasting wheat production and consumption until 2023 that he expects to increase the amount of wheat production by an increase representing about 11.6% of 2017, while the amount of wheat consumption is expected to increase by an increase that represents about 3.5% of 2017.

A slight decrease in the wheat gap is expected from about 15.92 million tons to about 15.82 million tons, representing about 0.8% from 2017.

While it was evident from the results of the prediction of the production of maize until 2023, it is expected that the amount of maize production will increase by an increase representing about 5.8% from 2017, while the amount of maize consumption is expected to increase by an increase representing about 3.2% from 2017.

A slight increase in the gap is also expected from the consumption of maize from about 8078 thousand tons to about 8110 thousand tons, representing about 0.4% of 2017.

While it is expected that the percentage of production of each of the oils will decrease in light of the increase in the consumption rate of each of them until the year 2023.

As it was clear from the results of forecasting the production and consumption of oils until the year 2023 that he expects the amount of oil production to decrease by about 25.8% from 2017, while the amount of oil consumption is expected to increase by an increase representing about 45.3% from 2017.

It is also expected to increase the gap in the consumption of oil crops from about 469 thousand tons to about 952 thousand tons, representing about 103% of 2017.

American Psychological Association (APA)

إيناس السيد صادق وشيلابي، أيمن عبد القوي وعمرو محسن محمد. 2020. التنبؤ بإنتاج و استهلاك أهم المحاصيل و السلع الزراعية الاستراتيجية حتى عام 2023. مجلة الفيوم للبحوث و التنمية الزراعية،مج. 34، ع. 1، ص ص. 100-111.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1274725

Modern Language Association (MLA)

إيناس السيد صادق....[و آخرون]. التنبؤ بإنتاج و استهلاك أهم المحاصيل و السلع الزراعية الاستراتيجية حتى عام 2023. مجلة الفيوم للبحوث و التنمية الزراعية مج. 34، ع. 1 (كانون الثاني 2020)، ص ص. 100-111.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1274725

American Medical Association (AMA)

إيناس السيد صادق وشيلابي، أيمن عبد القوي وعمرو محسن محمد. التنبؤ بإنتاج و استهلاك أهم المحاصيل و السلع الزراعية الاستراتيجية حتى عام 2023. مجلة الفيوم للبحوث و التنمية الزراعية. 2020. مج. 34، ع. 1، ص ص. 100-111.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1274725

Data Type

Journal Articles

Language

Arabic

Notes

يتضمن مراجع ببليوجرافية : ص. 111

Record ID

BIM-1274725