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A big-baug big-crunch type-2 fuzzy logic-based system for malaria epidemic prediction in ethiopia :
Joint Authors
Chekol, Belay Enyew
Hagras, Hani
Source
Journal of Science and Technology : in Engineering and Computer Sciences
Issue
Vol. 21, Issue 2 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.64-74, 11 p.
Publisher
Sudan University of Science and Technology Deanship of Scientific Research
Publication Date
2020-12-31
Country of Publication
Sudan
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
ABSTRACT- Malaria is a life-threatening disease caused by Plasmodium parasite infection with huge medical, economic, and social impact.
Malaria is one of a serious public health problem m Ethiopia since 1959, even if, its morbidity and mortality have been reduced starting from 2001.
Various studies were conducted to predict the Malaria epidemic using mathematical and statistical regression approaches, nevertheless, they had no learning capabilities.
In this paper, we presented a type-2 fuzzy logic-based system for Malaria epidemic prediction (MEP) in Ethiopia which has been optimized by the Big-Bang Big-Crunch (BBBC) approach to maximizing the model accuracy and mterpretability to predict for the future occurrence of Malaria.
We compared the proposed BBBC optimized type-2 fuzzy logic-based system against its counteipart T1FLS, non-optinuzed T2FLS, ANFIS and ANN.
The results show that the optimized proposed T2FLS provides a more mterpretable model that predicts the future occurrence of Malaria from one up to three months ahead with optimal accuracy.
This helps to answer the question of when and where must make preparation to prevent and control the occurrence of Malaria epidemic since die generated rules from our system were able to explain die situations and intensity- of input factors which contributed to die Malaria epidemic and outbreak.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Chekol, Belay Enyew& Hagras, Hani. 2020. A big-baug big-crunch type-2 fuzzy logic-based system for malaria epidemic prediction in ethiopia :. Journal of Science and Technology : in Engineering and Computer Sciences،Vol. 21, no. 2, pp.64-74.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1275347
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Chekol, Belay Enyew& Hagras, Hani. A big-baug big-crunch type-2 fuzzy logic-based system for malaria epidemic prediction in ethiopia :. Journal of Science and Technology : in Engineering and Computer Sciences Vol. 21, no. 2 (2020), pp.64-74.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1275347
American Medical Association (AMA)
Chekol, Belay Enyew& Hagras, Hani. A big-baug big-crunch type-2 fuzzy logic-based system for malaria epidemic prediction in ethiopia :. Journal of Science and Technology : in Engineering and Computer Sciences. 2020. Vol. 21, no. 2, pp.64-74.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1275347
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 73-74
Record ID
BIM-1275347