التنبؤ بمسارات التضخم في العراق للمدة (2011-2020)‎

Abstract EN

The Iraqi economy is suffering from a rise in price due to the weakness of the productive sector and its inability to respond to aggregate demand as well as other factors related to crises, wars and instability in economic and political situation, which led to the expand in the inflation that should adopt a package of measures which represent the governmental intervention through legal and institutional frameworks and the use of policy cash focused on monetary tools and tackle inflation through targeted and focused on forecasting inflation paths in Iraq from the period (2011 – 2020) by using regression models and time series models.

The statistical tests showed that the consumer price index is unstable and the values are consistent with those in the original series.

Tests also show that the time series method is the most accurate in the forecasting process.