التنبؤ بالطلب الشهري على الليالي السياحية و تحليل فجوات العرض لولاية الجزائر باستعمال أساليب القياس الاقتصادي

Abstract EN

Tourism is considered one of the most important activities relied upon in achieving economic development, due to its sustainability and bringing it into hard currency without the need for export.

Development plans and policies for the tourism sector are among the most important tools applied to developing this activity, by creating an increasing demand over time, without creating An imbalance in the tourism market as a result of the failure of supply or demand.

Through this research, we are building a model that aims to reveal the size of the surplus supply in the future, for each month for a period of three years, so that we can identify how this surplus develops over time, with increase or decrease by comparing the development of demand for overnight stays in peak seasons with the rest of the months Year and for several years