التنبؤ بالاستثمار الزراعي في العراق للمدة 2020-2030

Abstract EN

Forecasting agricultural investment in Iraq for the period (2020-2030).

ultural sector suffers from the lack of modern agricultural requirements, seeds, fertilizers and other agricultural practices such as modern heat, irrigation methods, and the use of modern technology, especially in light of the embargo and economic sanctions, and the research problem is that the various agricultural policies that followed Iraq led to a marked decline in agriculture Large and noticeable in Iraq.

Despite these natural resources and huge amounts of opportunities and capabilities, agricultural production is still low and not sufficient for local consumption, and this led to the import of many food commodities from abroad and in hard currency, and its importance lies in the lack of use of modern technologies in the agricultural sector and the lack or ence of exports from Agricultural commodities and their inability to compete with external commodities.

As a time series of data was relied on for the period (1989-2019), namely (total agricultural investments) and the value of agricultural investments was predicted for the years (2030-2020) using Box-Jenkins and it was found that investments are low, and the study also clarified a number of recommendations, the most important of which is working to increase support for agricultural investment and development To raise the level of agricultural investment