قياس أثر الاغراق السلعي على الامن الغذائي في العراق للمدة (2004-2018)‎

Abstract EN

The issue of food security is one of the important issues facing agricultural policy makers in many countries, considering it an advanced rank in the basic needs of members of society, and Iraq is one of the countries that suffer from the phenomenon of commodity dumping, especially after (2003), when the Iraqi markets witnessed a great openness to Imported goods, which are cheap in price and of poor quality, which led to their competition with local agricultural products.

The research aimed to measure and analyze the relationship between food security represented by agricultural domestic product and commodity dumping represented by agricultural and food esters in Iraq during the period (2004-2018), where the descriptive and quantitative method was used in analyzing the relationship above, and the indications of the research results using the joint integration method and the ARDL model).

The co-integration parameter is negative and significant in light of the short-term relationship, and it is clear from the results of the analysis that the model is unable to explain the long-term relationship, since the coefficients of the variables are not significant, and this indicates the existence of an irrational integrative relationship, as well as the low percentages of GDP contribution during the research period The research recommends the necessity of encouraging the production of agricultural commodities that were imported from abroad by setting an agricultural policy that supports import substitution, and working on investments for advanced foreign companies to enter into a partnership process with the private sector in agricultural production to take advantage of modern technical capabilities and train workers in the agricultural sector.