تقدير مرونة (العمل– الناتج)‎ بإستخدام نموذج مستند الى قانون أوكن : دراسة تطبيقية في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة من 1988-2016

Abstract EN

The present study is devoted to estimating the elasticity of (labor - output) in the Iraqi economy, by using of a model based on the Okun's Law, The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model It has been used After knowing the stability (stationary) of the model variables and their degree of integration, the current study attempts to answer following questions, The most important of which is the quantum of the coefficient of the elasticity of (labor - output), What is the effect of labor force growth on employment rates? The study under investigation has the following findings: • The possibility of deriving a model based on Okun's Law that can be used to estimate the coefficient of the elasticity of (labor - output).

• Low coefficient of elasticity (labor- output) in the Iraqi economy.

• The sustainability of the relationship between employment, production and labor force growth, but the return to long-term equilibrium is very slow