The effect of some factors on wheat production in Libya: ARDL modeling approach

Abstract EN

The study is an attempt to examine the effect of farm price, wheat imports, and flour imports on wheat production empirically in Libya.

the ARDL bounds approach was adopted to test the short and long-run among variables under investigation.

the results indicated there is co-integration relationship among variables.

in a long-run relationship among variables, it found the flour imports variable has effect on wheat production.

also, the findings clarify that the coefficient of the ECM is negative sign and significant (-0.4788).

the study recommends for increasing production of this commodity to exploit all irrigated agricultural lands in the public and private sectors in the production of wheat, and presenting financial support to irrigated farm's to produce wheat, and activating the role of agricultural extension for wheat producers to increase production.

combating the encroachment of urban expansion on agricultural lands.

using industrial river water to cover the deficit and reduce imports.