التضخم المستورد و التبعية للخارج : دراسة قياسية لأثر العوامل الخارجية في إحداث الظاهرة التضخمية في الاقتصاد الجزائري

Abstract EN

The research aims to clarify the impact of the external factors represented in imported inflation and fluctuations in oil prices on domestic inflation in Algeria during the period 1986 - 2019, through two side, the first is theoretical and the second is applied standard, where it will be known to what extent the positive and negative changes of imported inflation are similar to domestic inflation and for the purpose of reaching the goal of the research, the study used the nonlinear autoregressive method for slowed gaps (NARDL),and the results of the unit root test showed that all variables are static at the first difference except the imported inflation variable, which is static at the level, and there is a structural break in the inflation variable (1993).

), as the results of the bound test showed the existence of a cointegration between the local inflation rate and between each of the imported inflation, oil prices and the money supply the results also showed the position of international prices in influencing the level of local prices that is,, there is a direct relationship that goes from imported inflation to local inflation .

The results also revealed the existence of an asymmetric relationship by using NARDL method in the long term and an analogue in the short run.