تقلبات أسعار النفط في الأسواق الدولية قبل و بعد تحالف أوبك + : دراسة اقتصاد- قياسية

Abstract EN

oil prices in international markets knows periodic fluctuations resulting from the interaction of the forces of supply and demand, and perhaps the most prominent of them are production decisions issued by OPEC and then OPEC +.

This study aims to determine an econometric model that explains the fluctuations in oil prices in the international markets, before and after the formation of the OPEC + alliance, which now controls about 80% of oil supply in the market.

We found that a large part of the fluctuations in oil prices depends on the past of the variable itself, and on OPEC + production, And the existence of a bidirectional causality relationship between oil prices and OPEC + production.