قياس أثر إعادة هيكلة القوى العاملة في القطاعين الحكومي والخاص على دخول كبار السن

Abstract EN

This research aims to measure the impact of restructuring the workforce in Egypt on the income of the elderly through pension, as follows: 1- forecasting the contributions collected for workers in the public and private sectors during the study period.

2- calculating the average insurance wage for workers in the government and private sectors using the different replacement rates for workers.

3- measuring the impact of restructuring the workforce on the contributions collected from workers in the governmental and private sectors in light of the different replacement rates.

among the most important results are the following: 1.

concerning the contributions, the contributions collected from workers in the government sector achieved a remarkable increase compared to the contributions collected from workers in the private sector during the study period, where the increase ranges between 10 billion to 50 billion pounds on average for the different replacement rates, and this is due to the fact that most private sector companies do not the real wage of workers is subject to insurance, in order to reduce the amounts that it pays to the social insurance funds, which represent two thirds of the contributions collected from the insured workers, while the work bears one third of these contributions.

2.

in the case of restructuring with regard to contributions, the private sector achieved a remarkable increase in the contributions collected from its employees compared to the contributions collected from workers in the government sector during the study period, where the increase ranged between 40 billion to 70 billion pounds.

3.

in the case of restructuring in relation to the average insurance wage, the government sector achieved a remarkable increase over the private sector, with an increase ranging from 10,000 to 25,000 pounds, despite the higher number of insured persons in the private sector compared to those insured in the government sector.

4.

in the case of restructuring, the contributions collected from workers in the private sector are more than the contributions collected from workers in the government sector, after assuming restructuring.

however, the average insurance wage for workers in the government sector is higher than the insurance wage for workers in the private sector, so it is expected that the restructuring will it did not contribute well to improving the contributions collected for employees, which also shows that employees in the government sector contribute the largest proportion of the amounts due to pensioners, and that the restructuring did not help to narrow the gap between the average wage insurance in the public and private sectors.

5.

the contributions collected from workers in the government sector are more than the contributions collected from workers in the private sector, and that the average insurance wage for workers in the government sector is higher than the insurance wage for workers in the private sector, and that restructuring did not contribute well to improving the contributions collected for workers, which also shows that government sector employees contribute the largest proportion of the amounts owed to pensioners.