أثر عجز الموازنة العامة على الأداء الاقتصادي في مصر

Abstract EN

The study aims to measure the impact of the real total deficit in the general budget on the overall economic performance in the Egyptian economy using time series data for the period (1992-2019),the study relied on three multiple linear regression models using the Cobb-Douglas function of GDP, inflation equation and unemployment equation.

the study came to the conclusion that there is a positive relationship between the real total budget deficit and indicators of economic performance, i.e.

inflation, real GDP and unemployment, this means that a high public budget deficit leads to a rise in inflation, although it may stimulate output to lead to a rise in unemployment, this can be justified by the high rates of population growth at rates that exceed the real GDP growth rates.