تحليل سلسلة مبيعات الكهرباء الموجه للقطاع العائلي في ظل التقلبات الشهرية والتنبؤ بها باستخدام منهجية بوكس جنكيز، فرع ولاية تيسمسيلت للفترة 2016-2022

Abstract EN

The study aims to predict the household consumption of medium voltage electrical energy in light of monthly fluctuations in the state of Tissemsilt until December 2022, using standard methods through the Jenkins Box Method, in order to know the frequency of electrical energy consumption in the future.

The results showed that the best model for forecasting electricity sales is the Box Jenkins model, where the accuracy and quality of the model in forecasting the sales of medium pressure electricity poles were confirmed.

The study concluded that the household consumption of electric energy in Tissemsilt is constantly and rapidly increasing, which calls for finding less costly and more sustainable energy sources in the future.