تأثير الأزمة الروسية الأوكرانية على واردات مصر من القمح

Abstract EN

Wheat is one of the most important food grain crops that the Egyptian people depend on for food, and its grains are used in the production of bread and pasta.

Animal breeders also use wheat straw as animal food.

The state attaches special importance to the wheat crop to work on increasing the productivity, whether by the main increase or the horizontal increase
The research aims to redirect Egypt's imports of wheat to various wheat-exporting countries with the exception of Russia and Ukraine, where both Russia and Ukraine are among the largest producers and exporters of wheat in the world, and the current conflict between them has led to crises for some wheat-importing countries, especially Egypt, which is estimated It imported about 80% of this crop from these two countries.

The impact of this crisis was reflected on the prices of this crop in the world, as this led to a sharp rise in wheat prices globally, which will have a negative impact on the Egyptian balance of payments in the future.

It was found that the Egyptian productivity indicators showed that the development of the area, total production, feddan productivity and Egyptian imports increased, the statistical significance of which was not confirmed at the level of 1% and 5% .

It also became clear that the price of French and American wheat increased by 48.9% , 44.7% , respectively, from April 2021, and it was found from the linear programming that the first alternative achieved the lowest cost among the alternatives, as it saved 959.39 million dollars, or 36.57% .