البعد الإقتصادي للاكتفاء الذاتي و الأمن الغذائي للحوم الدواجن في المملكة العربية السعودية

Abstract EN

This study aimed to identify the current status of self-sufficiency and food security of poultry meat and assess the relative importance of the contribution of local production to achieving self-sufficiency and food security of poultry meat at a 95% confidence level, in addition to estimating the value of loans and investments necessary for expanding the poultry industry to achieve self-sufficiency and food security in Saudi Arabia.

This study was adopted in achieving its objectives on economic equations and binomial probability distribution.

The most important results of the study were the following: (1) the self-sufficiency rate of poultry meat decreased from 68.9% in 1995 to 48.6% in 2017.

2) The strategic stock of poultry meat was estimated at 632 thousand tons enough fordomestic consumption to about 182.1 days and the food security of poultry meat was estimated at 0.50 at the end of the period 1995-2017, (3) The contribution of local production in current selfsufficiency ranged between a minimum of 34.0% and a maximum level of 74.8% at a confidence level of 95%.

The relative importance of the contribution of domestic production to achieving relative food security (0.5% food security) for poultry meat ranged from a minimum of 15.5% and a maximum of 35.9% at 95% confidence level.

(4) With the goal of achieving the full level of food security, The relative importance of the contribution of domestic production to the food security of poultry meat ranges between a minimum of 58.2% and a maximum level of 93.2% at 95% confidence level, (5) The value of additional investments is expected to increase from 9.1 million SR when the self-sustainment ratio reaches 50% to 341.1 million SR when the selfsufficiency ratio is 100% and the additional investments are expected to increase from 142.2 million SR when the food security coefficient reaches 0.6 to 502.6 million SR when food security coefficient reaches one (6) This study recommends the need to increase the necessary investments to expand the poultry industry in order to achieve self-sufficiency and food security in line with the national transformation program and the vision of the Kingdom of 2030.