دراسة اقتصادية للأمن الغذائي لأهم محاصيل الحبوب في مصر

Abstract EN

The area of cereal crops represents about 46.5 percent of the total cropped area, which amounts to about 16.3 million acres.

each of the wheat and maize crops is one of the most important cereal crops, as the area of wheat and maize crops is about 3,262 and 2,474 million acres, representing together about about 75.7% of the total area of cereal crops in Egypt in 2020.

despite the increase in the cultivated area of wheat and maize and the increase in local production, there is an increase in the quantities consumed at rates higher than the rate of population increase, which led to an increase in the size of the gap and a decrease in the self-sufficiency ratio, and an increase in the amount of imports, which represents a burden on the agricultural and food trade balance and the balance Egyptian payments.

by studying.

the current situation of some of the main productive, consumer and economic variables of wheat and maize crops, estimating the size of the strategic stock and the food security factor during the period (2001-2020), and statistical estimation of wheat and maize imports, it was found that the annual rate of increase in the size of the wheat gap amounted to about 6.5% the annual rate of increase in the size of the maize gap was about 3.8%, which confirms the dependence on imports to meet the increasing domestic demand.

the value of the food security factor for wheat and maize crops was about 0.19 and 0.07, respectively, during the period (2001-2020).

the decline in the value of the food security factor of wheat and maize is due to the dependence on imports to provide the required needs, in addition to the decrease in the strategic stock, and this is what alarms in the event of political tensions and global economic changes.