Econometric analysis of demand of Egyptian citrus exports to Sudan using the almost Ideal demand system AIDS

Abstract EN

The demand for economic cooperation between Egypt and the countries of the Nile basin is one of the current and strategic demands, especially in the circumstances of globalization, and due to the wide volume of trade at the level of the Nile basin countries in general and the state of Sudan in particular, the commercial importance of stimulating agricultural trade cooperation between Egypt and the state of Sudan has become clear.

the research problem is that although the value of Sudan market imports of Egyptian citrus is estimated at 70.26% of the value of fruit imports from Egypt, Egypt is not the main export market for the state of Sudan despite the proximity of the distance between the two countries, which calls for examining the causes of this problem.

the research aims to study the Sudan market demand for Egyptian citrus with a focus on the orange crop to find out the competing markets of Egypt in the export of citrus to the Sudanese market, in addition to identifying the most important reasons behind the decline in the market share of Egypt as an exporter of Egyptian citrus from its competitors in export.

the results of the research showed that the flexibility of the price demand for the Egyptian orange crop in the Sudanese market, which means that the change in its price by about 1% leads to a decrease in demand by about 0.549%, which means that it is a commodity with inflexible demand in the Sudanese market, meaning that the export price has a low impact on the demand for Egyptian oranges in this market, while the flexibility of cross demand indicates that the change in the prices of Egyptian oranges exported from the competing countries, namely south Africa.

Chile by about 1% leads to a change in demand for Egyptian oranges by about 5.501%, 0.759% respectively, and on the other hand indicates the flexibility of the cross demand of the country competing with Egypt, which amounted to about (1.13%), (0.113%), respectively, that a change of about 1% in the prices of Egypt's exports of Egyptian oranges leads to a change in demand from the competing country worth these flexibilities.