العلاقة السببية بين التضخم والبطالة في السودان للفترة 2005-2021 م

Abstract EN

The study aimed at a quantitative analysis of the relationship between inflation and unemployment rates in Sudan, and to determine the relevance of the relationship between them in the long and short terms, and to provide recommendations that may help the decision maker to reduce inflation rates and limit the large increase in unemployment rates, among the most important results of the study: the existence of relationship one-way causation, we go from inflation to unemployment, that is the increase in inflation is the cause of unemployment, and this is what the study concluded that the value of the unemployment coefficient is positive, and this result differs with the theory that the relationship is inverse between unemployment and inflation, as it does not agree with the reality of the Sudan economy, and its probability value is less from 0,05 hence rejecting the science imposition and accepting the fatal alternative hypothesis that there is a statistically significant the relationship between unemployment and inflation in the short term only, and also there is no causal relationship between unemployment and inflation in the long run.