أثر التجارة الخارجية على النمو الاقتصادي في السودان : دراسة تحليلية للفترة (2002-2020)‎

Abstract EN

This paper seeks to highlight the role of foreign trade in achieving economic growth in Sudan during the period 2002-2020 and to know the nature of the relationship between these variables.

this study is based mainly on the descriptive analytical method, and the simultaneous integration test according to vector autoregressive methodology (VAR) to perform the dynamic analysis of the study variables.

the study concluded that there is a significant impact of foreign trade on economic growth, the circumstantial fluctuations of economic growth in the short and long runs are related to the shocks of economic growth itself in a large percentage, where this percentage is estimated in the second future year, 96.4816% compared to 3.5184% for foreign trade, it also reached 94.5876% in the last future year compared to 5.4124% for foreign trade.

the study recommended the need to adopt the policy of diversifying the structure of exports in addition to removing all restrictions and obstacles facing the foreign trade sector.